Description

This analysis provides a forecast of NEAR prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 1.076155 1.213051 1.362383 1.537650 1.738066 1.960487 2.226581
2026-01-04 0.890641 1.076808 1.296067 1.574480 1.920180 2.337354 2.881987
2026-01-11 0.762600 0.976075 1.243779 1.606660 2.089572 2.715473 3.596820
2026-01-18 0.664484 0.892013 1.192806 1.623853 2.232721 3.072505 4.336674
2026-01-25 0.576947 0.806309 1.123412 1.600005 2.308852 3.341140 4.989639
2026-02-01 0.495575 0.716665 1.034228 1.531473 2.304867 3.486004 5.473312
2026-02-08 0.436040 0.650203 0.968578 1.485972 2.324292 3.661914 6.024523
2026-02-15 0.390189 0.598298 0.917542 1.454389 2.357782 3.859348 6.635544
2026-02-22 0.368070 0.580167 0.915821 1.499853 2.520744 4.289225 7.715054
2026-03-01 0.342714 0.553795 0.897377 1.514043 2.630155 4.638660 8.701826
2026-03-08 0.312011 0.515314 0.854549 1.480385 2.648778 4.824439 9.401614
2026-03-15 0.284326 0.479169 0.811850 1.441522 2.651725 4.978930 10.060305
2026-03-22 0.273368 0.471966 0.820545 1.501005 2.855710 5.565096 11.757569
2026-03-29 0.259909 0.459079 0.817911 1.539298 3.024761 6.110275 13.482819
2026-04-05 0.246836 0.445567 0.812658 1.571806 3.186838 6.667305 15.353941
2026-04-12 0.233110 0.429431 0.800661 1.589100 3.319096 7.180564 17.230412
2026-04-19 0.216150 0.405455 0.770971 1.566039 3.359831 7.493122 18.669676
2026-04-26 0.196283 0.373981 0.723342 1.499201 3.292700 7.542263 19.427789
2026-05-03 0.180690 0.349658 0.687892 1.454796 3.271403 7.698706 20.513452
2026-05-10 0.167888 0.329887 0.659978 1.423959 3.278084 7.925779 21.850328
2026-05-17 0.162986 0.325955 0.664916 1.468384 3.474354 8.671477 24.889525
2026-05-24 0.155791 0.316552 0.657178 1.482251 3.595953 9.240203 27.527566
2026-05-31 0.145426 0.299496 0.631128 1.449371 3.592359 9.465537 29.123584